Is the insurgency collapsing?

"Peace like a River looks at the evidence.

I don't think it will collapse, but I think it is being slowly squeezed by a great logistical and political boa constrictor, which the insurgency no longer has the power to prevent or seriously threaten, provided the Iraqis and US do not lose the political will to confront them. The insurgency will end not with a bang but with a whimper."
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