Friday, August 19, 2011

US troops may stay in Afghanistan until 2024

America and Afghanistan are close to signing a strategic pact which would allow thousands of United States troops to remain in the country until at least 2024, The Daily Telegraph can disclose.

The agreement would allow not only military trainers to stay to build up the Afghan army and police, but also American special forces soldiers and air power to remain.

The prospect of such a deal has already been met with anger among Afghanistan’s neighbours including, publicly, Iran and, privately, Pakistan.

It also risks being rejected by the Taliban and derailing any attempt to coax them to the negotiating table, according to one senior member of Hamid Karzai’s peace council.

A withdrawal of American troops has already begun following an agreement to hand over security for the country to Kabul by the end of 2014.

But Afghans wary of being abandoned are keen to lock America into a longer partnership after the deadline. Many analysts also believe the American military would like to retain a presence close to Pakistan, Iran and China.

Both Afghan and American officials said that they hoped to sign the pact before the Bonn Conference on Afghanistan in December. Barack Obama and Hamid Karzai agreed last week to escalate the negotiations and their national security advisers will meet in Washington in September.

Rangin Dadfar Spanta, Mr Karzai’s top security adviser, told The Daily Telegraph that “remarkable progress” had been made. US officials have said they would be disappointed if a deal could not be reached by December and that the majority of small print had been agreed.

Dr Spanta said a longer-term presence was crucial not only to build Afghan forces, but also to fight terrorism.

“If [the Americans] provide us weapons and equipment, they need facilities to bring that equipment,” he said. “If they train our police and soldiers, then those trainers will not be 10 or 20, they will be thousands.

“We know we will be confronted with international terrorists. 2014, is not the end of international terrorist networks and we have a common commitment to fight them. For this purpose also, the US needs facilities.”

Afghan forces would still need support from US fighter aircraft and helicopters, he predicted. In the past, Washington officials have estimated a total of 25,000 troops may be needed.

Dr Spanta added: “In the Afghan proposal we are talking about 10 years from 2014, but this is under discussion.” America would not be granted its own bases, and would be a guest on Afghan bases, he said. Pakistan and Iran were also deeply opposed to the deal.

Andrey Avetisyan, Russian ambassador to Kabul, said: “Afghanistan needs many other things apart from the permanent military presence of some countries. It needs economic help and it needs peace. Military bases are not a tool for peace.

“I don’t understand why such bases are needed. If the job is done, if terrorism is defeated and peace and stability is brought back, then why would you need bases?

“If the job is not done, then several thousand troops, even special forces, will not be able to do the job that 150,000 troops couldn’t do. It is not possible.”

A complete withdrawal of foreign troops has been a precondition for any Taliban negotiations with Mr Karzai’s government and the deal would wreck the currently distant prospect of a negotiated peace, Mr Avetisyan said.

Abdul Hakim Mujahid, deputy leader of the peace council set up by Mr Karzai to seek a settlement, said he suspected the Taliban had intensified their insurgency in response to the prospect of the pact. “They want to put pressure on the world community and Afghan government,” he said.

Telegraph

6 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Keeping the world safe for dancing boys and opium dealers...

10:32 PM  
Blogger madtom said...

Well what choice does O have, no one liked his new stimulus idea of rehiring all the vets as government workers, which is what he was planning. Now he's got nowhere to put them and there is this 30% unemployed returning vets number going around making O look worse. Not only that, lots of those 30% are minorities vets...

Before you get your panties in whirl, I googled it and found this which puts the number at 20%

10:12 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I still don't buy the argument. The unemployment rate would be largely unaffected, even if a small percentage of NG troops come back to no job. Besides, if they have at least 3 years in, they have the new GI bill that gives them 4 years at a state school of their choice plus a Sgts salary. Now the humvee manufacturers may slow down as the number for blown up units dwindle, and the prosthesis industry may see a slow in growth, but I'm willing to take that chance.

11:02 AM  
Blogger madtom said...

Just this morning on c-spans Washington journal there was a program on just this subject. Unfortunately just as the program came on, I had to go. but I bet it's on their web site. I am going to go try and find it and a link to the video.

7:57 PM  
Blogger madtom said...

I guess the video is not up yet, here's the header:

Peter Gaytan, American Legion, Executive Director - A look at the unemployment of veterans, especially those coming back from Iraq & Afghanistan. Pres. Obama spoke earlier this month about initiatives to assist veterans moving back into the civilian workforce.

found it I think

http://www.c-spanvideo.org/program/Unemploymentfo

I am also posting the video

8:08 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Saying vets are more likely to be unemployed upon leaving the military than are there peers is a different issue from saying that the UE rate overall will be effected. Those coming home whose enlistments are up and choose not to re enlist or use their GI benefits may have a harder time finding a job than their peers with the same education and age group, but if they are leaving the military, someone is taking their place. Recruitment quotas are being met and the net has not been effected. The ratio of available jobs to applicants remains the same. UNLESS the overall number of troops is lowered which will take an act of Congress, and that hasn't happened, yet. It isn't that complicated.

9:14 PM  

Post a Comment

<< Home