Hypothesis

"If the previous provincial elections are anything to go by, the next general election is going to be very interesting. Of course Maliki swept the provinces last time round but his main advantage was that his opponents were divided, scattered and running against each other. This was a luxury he is not going to have in January.

A friend of mine took a hypothetical look at how the results would look like based on the number of seats the political parties won in the provincial elections. He then grouped the parties together according to their current alliances and the result is somewhat fascinating.

The Iraqi National Alliance consists mainly of SIIC, Sadr, Ja'fari, and Fadheela. The big guns on the State of Law Coalition are the Da'wa Party, Da'wa - Iraq Organisation and the Independent bloc."
Eye Raki