Tuesday, February 24, 2009

We Are All Republicans Now

MAHMUDIYA– Inside a tribal guest house near here, shaded by palm trees and surrounded by irrigated fields of barley and wheat, the talk over tea the other day quickly turned to politics. Not Iraq’s, America’s.

Sheik Moyad Fadhel Hussein al-Ameri, one of three brothers who were the hosts, said he was worried. A former mayor of Mahmudiya, he has a politician’s acuity. And with it, he has closely tracked President Barack Obama’s early statements on Iraq.

“President Obama is always talking about change,” he said, dressed in traditional robes and headdress and seated in one of the plush arm chairs that ringed the long greeting hall. “We would like to know what change.”


While much of the world has welcomed the inauguration of Barack Obama, providing him an international honeymoon after eight years of President Bush, the reaction has been as fractured as society here.

Many Iraqis, too, welcomed Mr. Obama and his campaign pledge to withdraw American troops on an accelerated schedule of 16 months. For others, though, President Bush’s departure has created uncertainty, and with uncertainty often comes fear.

“Before Obama was elected, we had eight years of dealing with Republicans, and we trusted them a lot,” Sheik Moyad said. “Even when a new government comes, we remember this history.”

In a region that until recently was part of an area south of Baghdad known as the Triangle of Death, the Americans are still seen as the guarantors of a precarious peace, even if they have increasingly turned over security to the Iraqi Army and police.

“It’s impossible to turn back,” another guest, Sheik Saadoun Mushassin al-Klabi, said of the violence that between 2004 and 2007 gave this region south of Baghdad its notoriety. That said, he went on: “I don’t think a fast withdrawal is coming soon. This is the commitment of the United States. And I don’t think the United States is gambling.”

The country, he explained, still needs the Americans to train the Iraqi security forces, to build an air force, to secure its borders from neighbors that, in his view, remain a threat. He anticipated an American relationship to Iraq that would not change as drastically as many assume, here and in the United States.

“I believe American policy is like building a house,” he said. “When you build a house, you should have a good foundation. We have a good foundation, even if there is change in the design.”

The gathering, as it turned out, was a partisan one. “We are all Republicans,” Mr. Ameri’s brother, Najim, interjected, and everyone in the hall laughed.

Sheik Moyad later showed a photograph of him with John McCain, taken during one of the senator’s visits to Iraq in 2007. (Sensing the changing political winds, perhaps, he also produced a picture with two visiting Democratic congressmen, but he couldn’t remember their names.)

“What about the economic collapse?” another Ameri brother, Ali, interjected. Will the need to cut spending affect Mr. Obama’s decision about reducing the troops here? Sheik Moyad expressed surprise about the new administration’s response to the crisis, the deep American intervention in its industries.

He compared Mr. Obama to Mikhail S. Gorbachev, the last leader of the Soviet Union, and his policy of perestroika, or change, only in reverse. “You’re becoming socialists!”

The Ameri brothers are Shiite Muslims in a region that is only now, hesitantly, knitting back together the main sects of Islam after a near descent into civil war. Both sects on this day were represented in the room. The gathering sounded at times like Iraq’s version of a Rotary Club or Chamber of Commerce meeting. Sheik Saadoun, in fact, is the chairman of Mahmudiya’s business council, created only six months ago in yet another tentative sign of recovery.

“We need American expertise to support our people,” he said, venturing to think of more than just security. “This is a very important stage. We don’t need to lose what we have gained.”
Mahmudiya, he said, had great economic potential, an agricultural bread basket on the southern gateway to Baghdad. When that potential is realized, everyone seemed to agree, the American troops could leave Iraq.

“When we see American companies,” Najim al-Ameri, a poultry farmer, added, “then we will know security is good.”

Baghdad Bureau

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